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Why Weather Forecasters Are Role Models

An excerpt from my forthcoming book, “The Signal and the Noise,” was published this week in The New York Times Magazine. You can find an online version of the excerpt here.The book takes a...

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Which NFL Teams Really Have the Toughest And Easiest Schedules in 2014?

The NFL released its 2014 schedule Wednesday night, confirming the dates and locations of all 256 matchups (and ending your chance to enter the St. Louis Rams’ schedule-guessing contest, even though...

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The Future of the U.S. Oil Boom Is Anyone’s Guess

The Energy Information Administration expects the unprecedented surge in U.S. oil production to continue for at least a couple of years more. But what happens after that is anyone’s guess. The EIA’s...

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Baseball Was Way Easier To Predict In 2016 — Except For Fly Balls

Heading into the final week of the regular season, the MLB playoff picture is almost settled. Although a handful of wild-card spots are still unclaimed, every division in baseball is all but locked...

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